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Lester Cox
Well, at least as a group, we have this going for US. Not so much for children, grand children. I still go back to Paul Harvey's "If I were the Devil" radio broadcast and my sheep meme.
Here’s a clear, U.S.-based breakdown at age 78 using the latest SSA 2022 period life table (the one used in the 2025 Trustees Report):
1-year mortality (age 78 → 79)
Men: ~4.98% (about 5 out of 100).
Women: ~3.59% (about 4 out of 100).
5-year mortality (age 78 → 83)
Men: ~27.1% (≈ 27 of 100 would be expected to die over 5 years). Computed from life-table survivors l_x: 53,125 at 78 down to 38,722 at 83 → survival ≈72.9%, mortality ≈27.1%.
Women: ~20.4% (≈ 20 of 100). From 67,086 at 78 to 53,371 at 83 → survival ≈79.6%, mortality ≈20.4%.
10-year mortality (age 78 → 88)
Men: ~57.4% (≈ 57 of 100). From 53,125 at 78 to 22,621 at 88 → survival ≈42.6%, mortality ≈57.4%.
Women: ~47.0% (≈ 47 of 100). From 67,086 at 78 to 35,566 at 88 → survival ≈53.0%, mortality ≈47.0%.
Remaining life expectancy at 78
Men: ~9.18 years
Women: ~10.71 years.
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